WITH THE DISCLAIMER that I haven’t seen nearly enough of the nominated films to offer a fair assessment, from what I’ve read and from what I have, in fact, watched, I have a few opinions about the Golden Globes:

1. Jesse Buckley (whom I have raved about in the past) will win for “Best actress in a Drama” for her role as Agnes (Ann) Shakespeare in Hamnet. She will go on to be her generation’s Meryl Streep.
2. Best picture (comedy or musical). This category has only two likely winners, One Battle after Another, and Marty Supreme. OBAA already has awards momentum, broader box office appeal, and perhaps an edge among the GG voters for its political message. I don’t think Marty Supreme should (or will) win as a biopic for such an ignoble character (see my “almost” review of this film).
3. Best Picture (drama). I didn’t see Sinners— which was about much more than vampires (but I wasn’t going to risk two hours and 20 bucks to see another vampire movie). Hamnet has a female director (and was based on a book by a female author that left Shakespeare playing second fiddle) and the higher level of artistic appeal – in big part due to Buckley‘s performance.
4. Best actress (musical or comedy) could go to Kate Hudson for Song Sung Blue. Everything I read tells me that Rose Byrne will win for her work in the movie with the oddest title, If I Had Legs, I’d Kick You.
5. Best male actor in a supporting role could go to Sean Penn for his work in OBAA. I don’t understand why Jacob Elordi, who played the monster in Frankenstein, was nominated for anything. The unlikely creation that was the monster was the reason I didn’t think the film reached its full potential— which was not perhaps the actor’s fault. 
6. Best male actor in a comedy/musical should not go to Timothée Chalamet – though not for his lack of skill in representing a character, but rather for choosing to portray such a wretched one. I walked out of the film. Rather, the award should  go to Ethan Hawke for his role in Blue Moon.

   It was almost a one-man show. While his character, the lyricist Lorenz Hart, was deeply flawed, his lines were no less than the desperate lyrics to a life’s finale: the inconstant rhythms and dirge-like melody of a loveworn heart.

   
   It was almost a one-man show. While his character, the lyricist Lorenz Hart, was deeply flawed, his lines were no less than the desperate lyrics to a life’s finale: the inconstant rhythms and dirge-like melody of a loveworn heart.
   
7. Best Actress in supporting role is supposed to be between Amy Madigan from Weapons, a witch movie that I did not see (I’d be more likely to see a witch movie than a vampire movie, but horror movies in general are down the list ), and Tayana Taylor from OBAA. Tayana Taylor was impressive enough to win. I have no reason to think Amy Madigan was not impressive as well.
8. Best Actor in a drama includes only films I have not viewed. It appears to be between the male leads for Sinners, The Secret Agent, or Train Dreams, but could be the source of an upset.
9. Best Director. Here it is rumored to be down to the vampire movie, Sinners director Ryan Coogler, and OBAA directed by Paul Thomas Anderson. PTA has quite a cachet.